One
of the reasons often cited to explain how Bill Clinton has high
approval ratings, despite his personal problems, is that the
economy is "doing great."
Certainly,
the normal indicators--stock market, gross domestic product,
inflation, job growth, unemployment, welfare rolls and the like--are
being touted, to suggest that "everybody" is doing well. Allow
me to disagree.
To say that
the rich are getting richer is true, but that's only the tip
of the iceberg (apologies to the Titanic). If your income derives
from wages, you're probably NOT doing all that well. You are
likely toiling longer, working harder, worrying more and achieving
no improved well-being or security. During the 1990s, real wages
adjusted for inflation have fallen. Chances are that your benefits
package hasn't improved much, either. It is unprecedented to
have real wages fall while the economy's overall GDP is increasing
by a third.
You keep
hearing about low unemployment, but there are constant stories
of major down-sizing, as well. The truth is that there is huge
growth in relatively low-paying jobs, while those people in
middle management and higher are worried about continuing employment.
The Internet
is great from a user standpoint, but so far, only the phone
companies are making any money from it directly. Netscape, which
made "instanaires" out of Marc Andreessen and James Barksdale,
lost $88 million in the December, 1997 quarter.
Go into
any retail establishment these days, and you'll see sales all
the time. That never happened during the booms of the 1960's.
Everyone
I know is working harder than they ever did before. What about
doctors? Their incomes have been cut back by the third party
payers. Even if they were over-compensated in past years, are
they doing great today?
Go ahead
and laugh, but one Bill Gates can really skew that curve.
My take
on it is this: Unless you are Bill Gates, a professional athlete,
a major entertainer, or someone close to that level, you are
probably putting in lots of hours to just get by. You tell your
friends, and they tell you, that they are "doing great." To
say otherwise would be un-American.
I mean,
if we're working so hard, we MUST be doing well, right?