The
past few weeks have not been good for this Seattle-based e- tailer.
In July, president
and CEO Joseph Galli quit. In June, Lehman Brothers issued a very
negative report questioning the company's ability to ever earn
profits. Just a couple of days ago, Amazon revealed that a significant
portion of revenue from its most profitable business units is
paid in Internet stocks, rather than cash.
And, let's
not forget that Amazon lost money on every single new Harry Potter
book that it sold, by offering expedited shipping.
It would seem
that founder Jeff Bezos wasn't clued in to the first rule of any
business: Never be ashamed to make a profit. How hard is it to
inflate revenues by selling merchandise at ruinous prices?
But, forget
about profits. Their TOTAL SALES are only slightly more than the
nearly $3 billion in funding they raised!! Undoubtedly, this is
the greatest failure in the history of capitalism. Quite simply,
Amazon.com is nothing more than a high-tech Ponzi scheme.
You might
recall the story of Charles K. Ponzi. In the summer of 1920, Ponzi
and his Boston-based postal coupon enterprise were the talk of
the East Coast. Before his investment bubble burst, he had collected
$9.5 million from 10,000 investors by selling promissory notes
paying "50% profit in 45 days."
Of course,
he was paying off early investors with funds taken in from later
ones. In theory, there WAS a small profit to be made--given currency
valuation differences after World War I--cashing in postal reply
coupons, but millions would have to be processed to make the scheme
even remotely worthwhile.
Likewise,
the notion of selling books over the Internet sounds good, but
you still have to process orders, control inventory, and have
employees. Books, more than many other products, are intended
to be picked up and examined. To be sure, if you already know
that you want a specific book, the Amazon approach will suffice.
However, much of retail consists in selling items in addition
to, or different from, what the customer originally planned to
purchase. Even though this phenomenon can be encouraged by the
website suggesting other titles based on statistical data, it
will never compare to walking past an aisle and suddenly noticing
something of interest, in a completely different vein.
All things
considered, the savings inherent in not having a conventional
retail setting are small, and the disadvantages can be compelling.
While we could
debate the notion of criminal intent on Bezos' part, it is clear
that the stock run-up on Amazon caused more stock to be purchased.
Thus, the business model becomes: Don't worry about selling product,
just sell shares! Given the gullible investment community, this
plan actually worked for a few years.
Bezos will
probably end up selling his enterprise, or just step down in favor
of "more experienced management." Basically, he'll walk
away with tons of cash.
As for Charles
Ponzi, he did time in various prisons, and spent his final days
in the charity ward of a Rio de Janeiro hospital, dying on January
15, 1949 at the age of 67.
To add insult
to injury, FDR never credited him as the inspiration behind Social
Security.